工业以太网基础设施组件销售将在2017年收复

Industrial Ethernet infrastructure component sales will recover in 2017
工业以太网基础设施组件销售将在2017年收复

The market for industrial Ethernet infrastructure components has been monitored by IHS Markit for many years and has enjoyed revenue growth at a rate above that of industry in general, driven by the increasing adoption of Ethernet in its various forms as the industrial protocol of choice. There have been dips in the growth pattern; the latest research from the Industrial Ethernet Infrastructure Components Annual Service forecasts one of these dips in 2016. The report estimated that the world revenue growth 2014 to 2015 was a healthy 10.1 percent but forecasts this will fall to 4.5 percent, 2015 to 2016. However, the horizon looks brighter for 2017 and beyond.

多年来，IHS Markit一直关注着工业以太网基础设施组件市场，受到以太网以各种形式作为工业协议选择而被越来越多地采用的推动，这一市场收入增速高于一般工业收入增长。但目前增长模式出现了放缓， 《工业以太网基础设施组件年度服务》最新研究预测了2016年是放缓的一年。这份报告估计，2014年至2015年的全球收入增长是健康的10.1％，但2015年至2016年预计将下降到4.5％。不过2017年及其后的市场前景看起来比较光明。 

IHS Markit believes there are two main reasons for this, one being the knock-on effect of the lull in investment caused by the oil price crash in late 2014 and 2015. New production facilities and refurbishment programs were reviewed at that time and suppliers, including distributors, have been living off their stock for the business that was about. The signs are that business will return to a more normal growth pattern from 2017 on, assuming of course there are no further major world economic upsets.

IHS Markit认为，这有两个主要原因，其中一个是2014年底和2015年油价暴跌造成的投资下滑而带来的连锁效应。当其时，新的生产设施和更新计划受到重新评估，供应商，包括分销商，只能依靠存量市场维持其相关业务。迹象表明，从2017年起，假如全球经济没有进一步的大混乱，企业将恢复到更加正常的增长模式。

The other reason for the lull in sales is believed to be that of confidence in world trading conditions caused mainly by the stability of the European Union and the presidential election in the United States. Factors affecting business confidence in the European Union includes the United Kingdom referendum voting to leave the union. The consequences of taking this action are not clear, which has caused uncertainty in some market sectors. Other factors include the mass immigration from the Middle East and Africa; and the stability of the euro. Despite this, Germany’s strong manufacturing base and the impetus and publicity behind Industry 4.0 and the industrial internet of things (IIoT) continues to be a stabilising factor. IHS Markit believes that the lull in component sales is temporary and the revenue growth rates of the past will return.

销售放缓的另一个原因是对世界贸易条款的信心度，这主要是欧盟的稳定和美国总统选举造成的。影响欧盟商业信心的因素包括英国脱欧公投。公投造成的后果不明朗，这导致一些市场行业的不确定性。其他因素包括来自中东和非洲的大规模移民，以及欧元的稳定性。但尽管如此，德国强大的制造业基础以及在工业4.0和工业物联网背景下的动力和宣传仍然是一大稳定因素。IHS Markit认为，组件的销售放缓只是暂时的，未来将恢复到前期增长率。